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Early Captain Marvel Forecast Predicts $140 Million+ Opening Weekend

Captain Marvel Brie Larson header

Captain Marvel looks set to soar to the top of the box office when the movie hits theaters this March, as a new long-range forecast has Marvel Studios' first female-led film tracking for an impressive opening of at least $140 million.

According to Box Office Pro, Captain Marvel could very well earn anywhere between $140 million and $180 million over its opening weekend. While official tracking won't be available until approximately one month out from release, Box Office Pro has taken multiple factors into consideration in its projection, including the film's massive pre-sales, which led to it becoming one of Marvel Studios' best first day pre-sellers. The site also factors in the character's tease at the end of Avengers: Infinity War -- which has only helped heighten anticipation for her debut among the general public.

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Should these estimates hold, Captain Marvel will easily beat Iron Man 2, which opened with $128 million back in 2010. If the film manages to reach the higher prediction of $180 million, that would put it ahead of 2016's Captain America: Civil War, a film that went on to amass $1 billion at the global box office.

Of course, these being extremely early estimates, it's entirely possible the film could underperform or overperform, which isn't particularly uncommon. Black Panther, for example, was projected to earn $90 million but went on to earn an astounding $202 million in its opening weekend before ending its theatrical run with well over $1 billion worldwide.

While it seems likely Captain Marvel will continue Marvel's streak of opening at number one, the movie will face some stiff competition from two other major releases: Disney's Dumbo and DC's Shazam!. It's also of note that there is only a seven-week window between Captain Marvel and Avengers: Endgame, which is sure to be a massive box office draw. Still, these early estimates for Captain Marvel suggest Carol Danvers will break plenty of records of her own come March.

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Directed by Anna Boden and Ryan Fleck from a script they wrote with Liz Flahive, Carly Mensch, Meg LeFauve, Nicole Perlman and Geneva Robertson-Dworet, Captain Marvel stars Brie Larson as Carol Danvers, Samuel L. Jackson as Nick Fury, Jude Law as the commander of Starforce, Clark Gregg as Phil Coulson, Lee Pace as Ronan the Accuser, Djimon Hounsou as Korath the Pursuer, Gemma Chan as Minn-Erva, Ben Mendelsohn as Talos, Lashana Lynch as Maria Rambeau, Algenis Perez Soto, McKenna Grace as young Carol, and Annette Bening in an undisclosed role. The film arrives March 8, 2019.

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