According to Forbes, Dark Phoenix will earn $430,000 at this weekend's box office for a domestic total of $64.628 million. This is actually less than what X-Men: Apocalypse earned in its first weekend and means the movie will finish with a worldwide take of just a bit over $250 million against a budget of $200 million.
In order to be considered profitable, movies typically have to make more than double their budget. Dark Phoenix will earn approximately 1.25x its budget. For comparison, Fantastic Four earned $167.9 million against a budget of $120 million, meaning it earned approximately 1.39x what it cost to make. Dark Phoenix would have to make $278 million to best Fantastic Four, which seems nearly impossible at this point.
Both Fantastic Four and Dark Phoenix are the final entries in their respective Fox franchises. The former movie, which holds a 9% on Rotten Tomatoes, was poorly received by critics and fans. This is much lower than Dark Phoenix's 23% on the review aggregation site.
As the rights to Marvel heroes previously held by Fox now belong to Disney, the X-Men and Fantastic Four are fair game for future Marvel Studios films. However, Marvel Studios President Kevin Feige says fans shouldn't expect to see the X-Men in the Marvel Cinematic Universe for "a very long time."
Directed and written by Simon Kinberg, Dark Phoenix stars James McAvoy, Michael Fassbender, Jennifer Lawrence, Nicholas Hoult, Sophie Turner, Tye Sheridan, Alexandra Shipp, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Evan Peters and Jessica Chastain. The film is out in theaters now.